Day Traders Diary

8/5/21

The major averages performed well as energy and travel stocks bounced back ahead of a key labor market report. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose over 200 points, or 0.6%. The S&P 500 added 0.5%, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.6%. The moves in the stocks came after a mostly lower regular session on Wednesday, which saw the Dow drop 300 points.

Weekly initial jobless claims came in at 385,000 on Thursday, in-line with expectations. The claims data was the last reading before the key July jobs report, which will be released on Friday morning. There is a wide range of estimates from economists about what the report will show, and some metrics for employment gains have disappointed despite a high level of reported job openings.

The jobs report is expected to be a key data point for the Federal Reserve as it considers when to tighten monetary policy.

The results of an ADP private payroll survey released Wednesday showed a gain of 330,000 jobs for July, well short of the consensus estimate of 653,000. Kourkafas said that the ADP miss showed that there was downside risk to Friday's report. Economists expect the reading will show the U.S. added 845,000 in non-farm payrolls in July, about even with the previous month, according to Dow Jones estimates.

Travel stocks, including airlines, bounced on Thursday after struggling over the past week amid the spread of the delta variant of Covid 19. American Airlines rose more than 7%, while casino stock Caesars Entertainment jumped more than 6%.

Energy stocks also performed well as the price of oil moved back toward $70 per barrel. Shares of Conocophillips rose more than 2%.

The 10-year Treasury yield was up slightly to 1.2% on Thursday. The yield briefly dipped below 1.13% on Wednesday before bouncing back in late morning trading.

Shares of Roku dropped more than 4% after the company issued quarterly results. Etsy fell 6% after the company gave guidance for the current quarter that indicated the pandemic-fueled commerce boom may be coming to an end.

However, earnings season has been strong overall. Goldman Sachs raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 4,700, representing 7% upside, in part due to an improving earnings outlook.

During regular trading Wednesday, shares of Robinhood surged 50%, continuing a volatile jump after last week's soft initial public offering. However, the stock reversed course on Thursday following the announcement that some stockholders will sell more than 97 million shares.

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