Day Traders Diary

10/1/21

The major averages stage a powerful rally as investors shook off a rough September thanks to news of a new oral treatment for Covid-19 boosted shares of companies tied to the economic recovery. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 483 points, or about 1.4%. The S&P 500 rose 1.2%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 0.8% to snap a five-day losing streak.

Shares of Dow member Merck jumped 9% after the drug maker and Ridgeback Biotherapeutics said their oral antiviral treatment for Covid-19 reduced the risk of hospitalization or death by 50% for patients with mild or moderate cases. The companies plan to seek emergency authorization for the treatment.

The new drug from Merck appeared to boost travel stocks. Shares of Royal Caribbean and Las Vegas Sands added more than 3%. Southwest Airlines led a gain in airline stocks after JPMorgan upgraded the stock and said most of the group was worth buying for a trade. Bank stocks rose as well, helping the Dow outperform.

Vaccine stocks, including Moderna, dipped in following the Merck news.

The 10-year Treasury yield fell back below 1.50% on Friday. A jump in rates to end September knocked tech stocks.

The market just capped a tumultuous September as inflation fears, slowing growth and rising rates kept investors on edge. The S&P 500 finished the month down 4.8%, breaking a seven-month winning streak. The Dow and the Nasdaq Composite fell 4.3% and 5.3%, respectively, suffering their worst months of the year.

Ten of the 11 S&P 500 sectors suffered losses in September, led to the downside by a 7.4% monthly drop in materials stocks. Energy is the best performer of the month, gaining more than 9%.

The S&P ended Thursday 5.2% below its all-time high reached in early September, the first 5% pullback of 2021. The broad equity benchmark is still up nearly 15% on the year however.

While October is known for notable market crashes, it typically is the start of a better seasonal period for stocks. The S&P 500 averages a 0.8% gain in October, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. Stocks average a 1.6% increase and 1.5% rise in November and December, respectively, according to the almanac.

Congress was poised to prevent a government shutdown Thursday. The Senate and House both passed a short-term appropriations bill that would keep the government running through Dec. 3 and sent it to President Joe Biden to sign. Biden was also set to go to Capitol Hill on Friday to try to help in negotiations over a major infrastructure bill.

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