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Leigh Baldwin & Co.

112 Albany Street, Cazenovia, NY 13035 | Phone: (315) 655-2964 Toll Free: 1-800-659-8044

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Day Traders Diary

12/26/12

Stocks began the day on a positive note, but the early sentiment failed to hold. The key averages slipped to their respective lows during the first two hours of trade, and held there for the remainder of the session. As a result, the benchmark index finished lower by 0.5%.

With only three trading days left in the year, and the budget deadline approaching, elevated volatility in financials can be expected. Today, the SPDR Financial Select Sector ETF (XLF 16.36, 0.00) ended flat, and the majors were mixed. Wells Fargo (WFC 34.33, -0.09) shed 0.3% while Citigroup (C 39.55, +0.17) added 0.4%. Also of note, Bank of America (BAC 11.54, +0.29) outperformed its peers and rose by 2.6%.

Consumer stocks were among the worst performers. In the discretionary space, retailers saw general weakness and the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT 61.09, -1.08) lost 1.7%. The softness followed a report from MasterCard Advisors SpendingPulse, which pointed to a 0.7% increase in holiday sales as compared to last year. The number was a disappointment as the general consensus expected sales to rise by as much as 4.0%. Instead, the modest uptick represented the slowest growth in four years. Among individual retailers and apparel producers, Coach (COH 54.13, -3.39), Gap (GPS 30.40, -0.97), Urban Outfitters (URBN 38.24, -1.06), and Macy's (M 37.13, -0.39) all lost between 1.0% and 6.0%.

Consumer staples were broadly lower with only a handful of names able to resist the sector-wide pressure. Medifast (MED 25.50, -3.86) slumped 13.2% after Chief Financial Officer, Edward Powers, notified the company of his intent to resign. The resignation will become effective no later than January 4 and Mr. Powers will pursue other interests.

On the upside, Inter Parfums (IPAR 19.75, +0.56) rose by 2.9% after the company signed an exclusive license agreement for Alfred Dunhill fragrances. The partnership is set to run for ten years, and Inter Parfums will take over production and distribution of the Alfred Dunhill collection.

The materials sector was a notable outperformer. Earlier, China's new leadership said urban development will be a key portion of future economic reforms. The news was welcomed by the market, and a rise in anticipated demand for steel pushed major producers higher. Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF 36.05, +0.69) and United States Steel (X 24.26, +0.20) saw respective gains of 2.0% and 0.8%.

The volatility index, or VIX, gained 8.1%, and the index settled at 19.30. Today's surge followed a steady climb observed over the course of the past week as investors sought downside protection in the event Washington lawmakers do not strike a budget deal in time. Note that VIX is now at levels not seen since late July.

The October Case-Shiller 20-city Home Price Index rose by 4.3%, while a 3.9% increase had been expected by the Briefing.com consensus. This follows the prior month's increase of 3.0%.

Tomorrow, weekly initial and continuing claims will be reported at 8:30 ET. In addition, November new home sales and December consumer confidence will both be reported at 10:00 ET.

All comments contained herein are for informational purposes only, and should not be considered as a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The firm does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information or make any warranties regarding results from it's usage.