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Leigh Baldwin & Co.

112 Albany Street, Cazenovia, NY 13035 | Phone: (315) 655-2964 Toll Free: 1-800-659-8044

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Day Traders Diary

11/25/16

The stock market endured a lazy, upward drift on Friday to end the abbreviated post-holiday session on a modestly higher note. The S&P 500 added 0.4%, extending its weekly advance to 1.4%. The benchmark index will enter the final three days of the month with a November gain of 4.1%.

 

To little surprise, the day after Thanksgiving was very uneventful for equities, as the bulk of the action unfolded in the first and last 30 minutes of the trading day. The benchmark index opened with a four-point gain and built on its advance during the home stretch. Trading volume was particularly low with fewer than 400 million shares changing hands at the NYSE floor.

 

Ten of eleven sectors ended the day with gains, paced by relative strength in utilities (+1.4%), telecom services (+1.1%), and consumer staples (+0.8%). Most cyclical sectors registered modest gains, but energy (-0.4%) bucked the trend as crude oil retreated.

 

Rate-sensitive utilities finished in the lead, even though moderate selling in the Treasury market resulted in higher yields. Despite the advance, the sector remains at the bottom of the November leaderboard, showing a decline of 5.1%.

 

For its part, the consumer staples sector also shows a November loss (-3.1%), but like utilities, the staples sector settled among today's leaders. Wal-Mart (WMT 71.22, +0.39) was among the sources of relative strength, rising 0.6%, after ChannelAdvisor reported that third party sellers on the Wal-Mart website saw a 39.7% year-over-year surge in sales.

 

Understandably, today's market-related news was limited to reports surrounding the retail sector, but investors will have to wait until next week to get a better feel for how retailers did during the Thanksgiving weekend. Last evening, Adobe Digital Insights estimated that as of 17:00 ET on Thursday, online sales totaled $1.15 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 13.6%. The news was insufficient to keep online retail giant Amazon (AMZN 780.22, +0.10) among today's outperformers despite an upbeat start. Amazon settled flat while the broader discretionary sector (+0.3%) ended just behind the broader market.

 

On the downside, the energy sector (-0.4%) spent the entire session in negative territory, pressured by crude oil, which dropped 3.2% to $46.41/bbl. Shortly before the close, Bloomberg reported that Monday's meeting between OPEC and non-OPEC producers has been cancelled, adding another wrinkle to the ongoing supply cut saga.

 

The Treasury market will remain open until 14:00 ET, but a quiet finish is expected, considering the 10-yr note holds just a slim loss, sending its yield higher by one basis point to 2.36%.

 

Today's economic data was limited to International Trade in Goods and advance Wholesale Inventories:

 

The October International Trade in Goods report showed a $62.00 billion decline to follow last month's $56.10 billion drop

October advance Wholesale Inventories showed a 0.4% decline (Briefing.com consensus 0.2%) on top of a revised 0.1% uptick in September (from 0.2%)

Monday's session will be free of noteworthy economic data.

 

Russell 2000 +13.1% YTD

Dow Jones Industrial Average +9.9% YTD

S&P 500 +8.3% YTD

Nasdaq Composite +7.8% YTD

All comments contained herein are for informational purposes only, and should not be considered as a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The firm does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information or make any warranties regarding results from it's usage.